ECTS - Probability Theory and Statistics

Probability Theory and Statistics (MATH392) Course Detail

Course Name Course Code Season Lecture Hours Application Hours Lab Hours Credit ECTS
Probability Theory and Statistics MATH392 6. Semester 4 0 0 4 7
Pre-requisite Course(s)
MATH136 ve MATH136
Course Language English
Course Type Compulsory Departmental Courses
Course Level Bachelor’s Degree (First Cycle)
Mode of Delivery Face To Face
Learning and Teaching Strategies Lecture, Question and Answer, Problem Solving.
Course Coordinator
Course Lecturer(s)
Course Assistants
Course Objectives The objective of the course is to introduce and provide understanding for basic notions of Probability and Statistics such as probability space, random variable, probability distribution, independence of random events and random variables. Students will learn the methods of statistical analysis, the theory and techniques of parameter estimation and hypothesis testing.
Course Learning Outcomes The students who succeeded in this course;
  • have knowledge of fundamental concepts of Probability Theory, including notion of probability space, properties of probability.
  • understand the notion of independence and conditional probability as well as the usage of the Bayes Theorem.
  • understand the notions of random variable, random vector, and probability distribution together with the knowledge of classical probability distributions and their applications
  • understand basic statistical concepts and methods. Skills to apply methods of descriptive statistics
  • understand the central limit theorem and its importance for the statistical inference. Ability to use the parameters estimation methods and perform hypothesis testing as well as interpret obtained results.
Course Content Probability spaces, conditional probability and independence, random variables and probability distributions, numerical characteristics of random variables, classical probability distributions, random vectors, descriptive statistics, sampling, point estimation, interval estimation, testing hypotheses.

Weekly Subjects and Releated Preparation Studies

Week Subjects Preparation
1 Axiomatic Definition of Probability. Probability Space. Classical Probability. Counting. Uniform Space. [1] Ch. 1, pp. 12-17, 39-43; [2] II, Ch. IV, pp. 112-117
2 Independence of Two and Several Events. Pairwise Independence. Law of Total Probability. Bayes’ Theorem. [1] Ch. 2, pp. 49-53, 56-69
3 Independent Experiments. Bernoulli Trials. [2] I, Ch. VI, pp. 146-156; [1] Ch. 5, pp. 247-251
4 Random Variables. Distribution of A Random Variable and A Distribution Function. Discrete, Absolutely Continuous and Singular Distributions. [1] Ch. 3, pp. 97-113; [2] II, Ch. V, pp. 141-143
5 Numerical Characteristics of Random Variables. Mathematical Expectation and Variance, Their Properties. Chebyshev Inequality. [1] Ch. 4, pp. 181-199
6 Classical Random Variables. Their Properties And Applications. [1], Ch. 5, pp. 247-258, 264-273
7 Random Vectors. Distribution of A Random Vector and Distribution of Its Projections. Independent Random Variables. [1] Ch. 3, pp. 118-135
8 Organization and Description of Data. Frequency Distributions, Their Graphic Presentations. Parameters and Statistics. [3], Ch. 1, pp. 1-21
9 Special Probability Distributions. Moment-Generating Functions. [1] Ch. 5, pp. 295-305, 404-408
10 The Central Limit Theorem, Its Applications. [1] Ch. 5, pp. 286-295
11 Point Estimation. Unbiased, Consistent, Sufficient Estimators. [1] Ch. 7, pp. 427-433, 440-444
12 Interval Estimation. Confidence Intervals. [1] Ch. 7, pp. 409-416
13 Statistical Hypotheses. Simple and Composite Hypotheses. Null and Alternative Hypotheses. Type I and II Errors. Level of Significance. [1] Ch. 8, pp. 463-469, 472-484
14 Testing Statistical Hypotheses. Tests Concerning Means, Proportions and Variances. [1], Ch. 8, pp. 472-484
15 Survey of The Course.
16 Final exam.

Sources

Course Book 1. M.H. DeGroot, M.J. Shervish. Probability and Statistics. Addison Wesley, 2002
Other Sources 2. W.Feller. An Introduction to probability theory and its applications, v.I,II. J.Wiley and Sons, New-York, 1979
3. John E. Freund, Mathematical Stasistics, Prentice Hall, 1992.

Evaluation System

Requirements Number Percentage of Grade
Attendance/Participation - -
Laboratory - -
Application - -
Field Work - -
Special Course Internship - -
Quizzes/Studio Critics - -
Homework Assignments 4 20
Presentation - -
Project - -
Report - -
Seminar - -
Midterms Exams/Midterms Jury 2 40
Final Exam/Final Jury 1 40
Toplam 7 100
Percentage of Semester Work 60
Percentage of Final Work 40
Total 100

Course Category

Core Courses X
Major Area Courses
Supportive Courses
Media and Managment Skills Courses
Transferable Skill Courses

The Relation Between Course Learning Competencies and Program Qualifications

# Program Qualifications / Competencies Level of Contribution
1 2 3 4 5
1 Acquires skills to use the advanced theoretical and applied knowledge obtained at the mathematics bachelors program to do further academic and scientific research in both mathematics-based graduate programs and public or private sectors. X
2 Transplants and applies the theoretical and applicable knowledge gained in their field to the secondary education by using suitable tools and devices. X
3 Acquires the skill of choosing, using and improving problem solving techniques which are needed for modeling and solving current problems in mathematics or related fields by using the obtained knowledge and skills. X
4 Acquires analytical thinking and uses time effectively in the process of deduction X
5 Acquires basic software knowledge necessary to work in the computer science related fields and together with the skills to use information technologies effectively. X
6 Obtains the ability to collect data, to analyze, interpret and use statistical methods necessary in decision making processes. X
7 Acquires the level of knowledge to be able to work in the mathematics and related fields and keeps professional knowledge and skills up-to-date with awareness in the importance of lifelong learning. X
8 Takes responsibility in mathematics related areas and has the ability to work affectively either individually or as a member of a team. X
9 Has proficiency in English language and has the ability to communicate with colleagues and to follow the innovations in mathematics and related fields. X
10 Has the ability to communicate ideas with peers supported by qualitative and quantitative data. X
11 Has professional and ethical consciousness and responsibility which takes into account the universal and social dimensions in the process of data collection, interpretation, implementation and declaration of results in mathematics and its applications. X

ECTS/Workload Table

Activities Number Duration (Hours) Total Workload
Course Hours (Including Exam Week: 16 x Total Hours)
Laboratory
Application
Special Course Internship
Field Work
Study Hours Out of Class 16 4 64
Presentation/Seminar Prepration
Project
Report
Homework Assignments 4 10 40
Quizzes/Studio Critics
Prepration of Midterm Exams/Midterm Jury 2 15 30
Prepration of Final Exams/Final Jury 1 16 16
Total Workload 150